Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006654 0.007426 0.008268 0.009256 0.010387 0.011644 0.013155
2025-06-01 0.005365 0.006402 0.007625 0.009185 0.011139 0.013524 0.016689
2025-06-08 0.004528 0.005637 0.007014 0.008869 0.011335 0.014545 0.019113
2025-06-15 0.004061 0.005232 0.006748 0.008886 0.011876 0.015987 0.022209
2025-06-22 0.003811 0.005062 0.006743 0.009212 0.012830 0.018066 0.026469
2025-06-29 0.003445 0.004689 0.006410 0.009024 0.013002 0.019010 0.029141
2025-07-06 0.003140 0.004365 0.006106 0.008830 0.013121 0.019858 0.031750
2025-07-13 0.002930 0.004157 0.005944 0.008822 0.013509 0.021153 0.035278
2025-07-20 0.002808 0.004064 0.005940 0.009051 0.014289 0.023174 0.040390
2025-07-27 0.002626 0.003866 0.005756 0.008965 0.014528 0.024288 0.043999
2025-08-03 0.002483 0.003714 0.005629 0.008959 0.014895 0.025661 0.048324
2025-08-10 0.002334 0.003541 0.005454 0.008850 0.015061 0.026674 0.052079
2025-08-17 0.002230 0.003439 0.005394 0.008951 0.015652 0.028640 0.058375
2025-08-24 0.002102 0.003289 0.005245 0.008884 0.015928 0.030036 0.063746
2025-08-31 0.001946 0.003082 0.004981 0.008580 0.015703 0.030370 0.066699
2025-09-07 0.001858 0.002982 0.004895 0.008596 0.016117 0.032108 0.073446
2025-09-14 0.001823 0.002970 0.004963 0.008910 0.017174 0.035415 0.084997
2025-09-21 0.001717 0.002829 0.004786 0.008729 0.017163 0.036289 0.090221
2025-09-28 0.001620 0.002696 0.004615 0.008543 0.017118 0.037075 0.095391
2025-10-05 0.001554 0.002615 0.004535 0.008535 0.017468 0.038871 0.103994
2025-10-12 0.001522 0.002593 0.004564 0.008754 0.018362 0.042173 0.118171
2025-10-19 0.001455 0.002503 0.004455 0.008672 0.018539 0.043648 0.126877
2025-10-26 0.001401 0.002435 0.004385 0.008666 0.018897 0.045666 0.138036